استخدام أنموذج الانحدار اللوجستك الترتيبي لتقدير احتمال الاصابة بالتشوهات الجنينية في مدينة بغداد

Abstract

    The Congenital malformations incidence is as old as the man on the earth's surface, but these abnormalities occur in a steady increase in the incidence rate of one hand, and in terms of the diversity of these distortions on the other hand, which generates some children carrying many of the distortions that are injury during the duration of pregnancy . The goal of research in conducting statistical and descriptive study of infected births and birth defects in the civil Baghdad in 2013, and analytical by building model regression Allojcetk ordinal to estimate the risk of birth defects included in the study and to predict and identify the most important causes and factors affecting the occurrence of a series of factors have been judged by doctors jurisdiction and which is supposed to affect these distortions occurs, and the interpretation of those influences, and included the study 314 case, and the results showed that the high proportion of dead births behind the increase in the incidence of congenital malformations, where the dead birth rate was 13 per thousand births, and the proportion of infected births Balichoh 6.5 per thousand births the results also showed a significant effect of the variables (the number of previous projections and the number of previous births dead) on these distortions occurs.