Using Fuzzy Logic to Predict Transformation Function Models

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31272/jae.i151.1530

Keywords:

Proposed Forecasting Model, Time series data, Improvement

Abstract

This research aims to predict temperatures using transformation function models, which are time-based models used to describe the dynamic relationship between input variables (solar radiation) and output variables (temperature). The model was initially built using the original data and then reconstructed after applying data blurring techniques to reduce noise and improve the quality of the time series. The results showed that the model after blurring performed better than the model using the original data, achieving higher accuracy in short-term predictions. This finding underscores the importance of preprocessing techniques, such as data blurring, in enhancing the efficiency of statistical models and improving forecasting results in climate applications.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

  • Noor Al-Huda Mahmoud Thamer, Nineveh Statistics Directorate, Mosul, Iraq

    Asst. Lecturer - Employed at Nineveh Statistics Directorate, Mosul, Iraq.

References

[1] Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C., & Ljung, G. M. (2016). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). John Wiley & Sons. ISBN-13: DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118619100

[2] Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy Sets. Information and Control, 8(3), 338–353. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0019-9958(65)90241-X

[3] Mendel, J. M. (2017). Uncertain Rule-Based Fuzzy Systems: Introduction and New Directions (2nd ed.). Springer. ISBN-13: 978-3319513690 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51370-6 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-51370-6

[4] Korol, T. (2018). The implementation of fuzzy logic in forecasting financial ratios. Contemporary Economics, 12(2), 165–188. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5709/ce.1897-9254.270

[5] Jassam, N. W., & Khudhair, J. K. (2024). Using the Dual-Input Single-Output (DISO) transfer function model in financial time series. Journal of the College of Basic Education, 30(126), 192–212. https://doi.org/10.35950/cbej.v30i126.12216 DOI: https://doi.org/10.35950/cbej.v30i126.12216

[6] Hayawi, H. A. A., Ibrahim, N. S., & Mohammed, L. J. (2021). Using the fuzzy technique to identification stochastic linear dynamic systems. Journal of Statistics and Management Systems, 24(1), 167–181. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09720510.2020.1859808 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09720510.2020.1859808

[7] Ibrahim, N. S., Amin, O. S. and Hayawi, H. A. A.,(2021),” FORECASTING THE FUZZY HYBRID ARIMA-GARCH MODEL OF STOCK PRICES IN THE IRAQI STOCK EXCHANGE”. International Journal of Agricultural and Statistical Sciences, Vol. 17, Supplement 1. DocID: https://connectjournals.com/03899.2021.17.2229

https://doi.org/10.5958/0973-1903.2021.00001.X

[8] Bector, C. R., & Chandra, S. (2005). Fuzzy Mathematical Programming and Fuzzy Matrix Games. Springer (Originally Tata McGraw-Hill). ISBN-13: 978-3540237297 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/b138244

[9] Cox, E. (1999). The Fuzzy Systems Handbook: A Practitioner's Guide to Building, Using, and Maintaining Fuzzy Systems (2nd ed.). AP Professional. ISBN-13: 978-0121944551

[10] Reyes ,J. E.M., Ake, S.C. & Llanos , A.I.C.,(2021).” New Hybrid Fuzzy Time Series Model: Forecasting the foreign exchange market”. Contaduría y Administración 66(3):1-24. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22201/fca.24488410e.2021.2623 DOI: https://doi.org/10.22201/fca.24488410e.2021.2623

[11] Klir, G., & Yuan, B. (1995). Fuzzy Sets and Fuzzy Logic: Theory and Applications. Prentice Hall. ISBN-13: 978-0131011717

[12] Chen, K. S., Yao, K. C., Cheng, C. H., Yu, C. M., & Chang, C. H. (2024). Fuzzy Evaluation Model for Critical Components of Machine Tools. Axioms, 13(8), 555. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms13080555 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms13080555

[13] Liu, L. M. (2006). Time Series Analysis and Forecasting (2nd ed.). Scientific Computing Associates. ISBN-13: 978-0976505686

Downloads

Published

2026-03-02

How to Cite

Using Fuzzy Logic to Predict Transformation Function Models. (2026). Journal of Administration and Economics, 51(151), 90-102. https://doi.org/10.31272/jae.i151.1530

Similar Articles

1-10 of 70

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.